What will Apple (AAPL) hit Week of July 20 2026?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market asks whether Apple's stock price will reach certain levels during one specific trading week. There are multiple price targets: $336 (does the stock climb that high?), $320 (does it touch or cross that level going down?), and $316 (does it fall to or below that?). Each target is its own Yes or No question. You are not predicting where the stock closes or averages, just whether it briefly touches a specific price at any moment during that week. Each price target resolves Yes if Apple's stock hits that exact level or beyond, even for just one single minute, during regular trading hours (9:30 AM to 4:00 PM Eastern Time) on any day from July 20 to July 24, 2026. The high targets ($336, $320) need the price to reach or exceed them. The low target ($316) needs the price to drop to or below it. The official data source is a service called Pyth, which records minute-by-minute prices. If Pyth has a technical failure, the official exchange data is used as a backup. The one news item provided, about a political agenda in Bangladesh, has no clear connection to Apple's stock price. There is no relevant recent news available here. What would genuinely matter to watch for includes Apple earnings announcements, major product news, broader tech market moves, or any significant shifts in US economic conditions between now and that week. A full year separates us from this market's deadline, which makes this genuinely hard to call. Apple's stock could move significantly in either direction due to earnings reports, product launches, regulatory news, broader economic shifts, or simple market sentiment swings. The market currently prices the $320 downside touch at 50%, meaning participants see it as roughly a coin flip. Over a year-long horizon, a wide range of outcomes remains plausible, and no one reliably predicts stock prices that far out.

The odds right now

• ↓ $32058%
• ↑ $33636%
• ↓ $31635%
• ↑ $34019%
• ↓ $31219%
• ↑ $34411%
• ↓ $30810%
• ↑ $3487%
• ↑ $3565%
• ↑ $3522%
• ↑ $3602%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 24, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during the week of July 20 2026, any 1-minute candle for Apple (AAPL) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.