What will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit Week of July 20 2026?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking whether Coinbase's stock price will touch certain price levels during a specific week. There are three price targets: $165, $167.50, and $170. For each one, the question is simply: will COIN's stock price climb high enough to reach that number at any moment during regular trading hours in the week of July 20, 2026? Even a single brief spike to that level counts. The market currently puts the odds at 78% for $165, 68% for $167.50, and 59% for $170. Each target resolves Yes if COIN's price touches or exceeds it during any single minute of regular trading (9:30 AM to 4:00 PM ET) from Monday July 20 to Friday July 24, 2026. The data comes from a service called Pyth, which tracks prices minute by minute. Pre-market and after-hours price moves do not count, even if COIN spikes well above the target outside those hours. If Pyth has a technical outage, the official daily high from the primary exchange is used as a backup. The most relevant headline is one about a major Bitcoin ETF potentially selling 100,000 BTC, which could affect crypto sentiment broadly and, by extension, Coinbase as a crypto-tied stock. The other headlines about Hut 8, India-Moldova relations, and AI benchmarking do not appear directly relevant to COIN's price this week. News about large Bitcoin selling pressure is worth watching because Coinbase's stock tends to move with crypto market conditions. Coinbase's stock is closely tied to crypto markets, which can swing sharply on short notice. A single week is a narrow window, and a lot can change: Bitcoin could rally or drop, a regulatory headline could land, or broader market mood could shift. The three price targets are fairly close together, which is why the odds drop notably from $165 to $170. The main question is whether current momentum holds or reverses over five trading days, and that is genuinely difficult to call.

The odds right now

• ↑ $16586%
• ↑ $167.5072%
• ↑ $17059%
• ↓ $152.5057%
• ↓ $15555%
• ↑ $172.5047%
• ↓ $15040%
• ↓ $147.5030%
• ↓ $14521%
• ↓ $142.5017%
• ↓ $14014%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 24, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during the week of July 20 2026, any 1-minute candle for Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.