Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market asks whether the Second Coming of Jesus Christ, the event described in Christian scripture where Jesus returns to Earth, will literally happen before the end of 2026. A Yes means that event occurred in the real world and was widely recognized. A No means it did not happen by the deadline, which is the outcome the market currently treats as almost certain, pricing Yes at just 2%. The market settles Yes only if the Second Coming of Jesus Christ actually occurs before December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM Eastern Time. There is no partial credit or symbolic interpretation, it would need to be confirmed by a consensus of credible sources. If that does not happen, it resolves No. Because the deadline is a hard calendar date, if nothing occurs by then, No is automatic. None of the recent news provided has any connection to this market. There are no developments in the headlines that relate to this question. The kind of event that would matter here is self-evident, it would itself be the news, and nothing like that has been reported. At 2%, the market is heavily skewed toward No, so the honest framing is not two equal sides debating this. The main uncertainty is simply the small possibility of the unexpected. The deeper challenge for a prediction market is that resolution depends on a 'consensus of credible sources' for an event that billions of people would interpret very differently based on faith and belief, making even the resolution criteria unusually difficult to apply.

The odds right now

• Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?-0.1 pts (1w)2%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves December 31, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if The Second Coming of Jesus Christ occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.