X Games New Orleans 2026: Men's Skateboard Street: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking who will win first place in the Men's Skateboard Street competition at X Games New Orleans 2026. A "Yes" on a skater means he wins the gold medal at the event. Right now, the market puts Ginwoo Onodera as the heavy favorite at 66%, with Juni Kang at 19% and Sora Shirai at 9%, leaving a small slice for someone else entirely. The market settles based on whoever is officially handed the gold medal at the podium ceremony, using X Games' own results as the source. The result is locked in at that moment: if a skater is later disqualified after the ceremony, it does not change the outcome here. If the event is cancelled or has no declared winner by August 9, 2026, it resolves as "Other" instead of Yes or No. There is also a quirky tie-breaking rule: if two skaters somehow share gold, the one whose last name comes first alphabetically wins the market. None of the provided recent headlines relate to X Games New Orleans or skateboarding. There is no relevant news to point to here. The kind of development worth watching for would be any injury reports affecting top skaters, official competitor announcements from X Games, or event scheduling updates as July 2026 approaches. The main honest uncertainty is whether something unexpected disrupts Onodera, who the market prices as a clear frontrunner. Skateboarding competition results can shift on any given day: a fall on a key trick, a surprise run from a lesser-known skater, or an injury can change everything. The field beyond the three listed skaters also holds some probability. That said, at 66%, the market is not treating this as a close race, so the core question is really whether the upset happens, not whether two sides are evenly matched.

The odds right now

• Ginwoo Onodera67%
• Juni Kang10%
• Filipe Mota8%
• Sora Shirai8%
• Nyjah Huston6%
• Jagger Eaton6%
• Giovanni Vianna5%
• Toa Sasaki4%
• Chris Joslin4%
• Kairi Netsuke4%
• Braden Hoban3%
• Cordano Russell3%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 25, 2026

This market will resolve according to the participant (country team or individual participant as applicable to the event) that is awarded the gold medal at the 2026 X Games New Orleans for the Skateboard Street - Men's event at the time of the corresponding medal/podium ceremony. Subsequent disqualifications or amendments will not be considered. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.