X Games New Orleans 2026: Men's Skateboard Vert: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking who will win first place in the Men's Skateboard Vert competition at X Games New Orleans 2026. Vert skateboarding means riding a large curved ramp and launching into the air to do tricks above the edge. Whoever stands on the top spot of the podium wins. A Yes on a skater means that person wins gold. A No means someone else does. The market currently gives Gui Khury a 59% chance, Ema Kawakami 16%, and Tom Schaar 8%, with the remaining probability spread across unlisted skaters. The market settles based on who is officially awarded the gold medal at the podium ceremony, using results from the X Games itself. Crucially, the result is locked in at the ceremony: if a skater is disqualified afterward, it does not change the outcome here. If the event is cancelled or postponed past August 9, 2026, it resolves as 'Other' rather than Yes or No for anyone. If two skaters somehow share gold, the market picks whichever of their last names comes first alphabetically among those listed. None of the provided news headlines are relevant to this event. There is no recent news here about X Games, skateboarding, or the athletes involved. What would actually matter to watch for: any news about athlete injuries, withdrawal announcements, or official X Games schedule updates before the July 26 event date. The biggest uncertainty is that live sports competition is genuinely unpredictable. A skater can fall on a key run, land a career-best trick, or get injured during the event itself. Gui Khury is priced as a strong favourite, but vert skateboarding rewards high-risk tricks, and results can flip quickly on a single run. There are also unlisted skaters who collectively account for roughly 17% of the probability, meaning the market acknowledges the field is not fully captured by the three named competitors.

The odds right now

• Gui Khury62%
• Ema Kawakami16%
• Tom Schaar8%
• JD Sanchez6%
• Moto Shibata5%
• Soya Inomata2%
• Egoitz Bijueska2%
• Other1%
• Edouard Damestoy1%
• Tate Carew1%
• Ao Nishikawa1%
• Luigi Cini1%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 26, 2026

This market will resolve according to the participant (country team or individual participant as applicable to the event) that is awarded the gold medal at the 2026 X Games New Orleans for the Skateboard Vert - Men's event at the time of the corresponding medal/podium ceremony. Subsequent disqualifications or amendments will not be considered. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

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These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.