XRP above ___ on July 29?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market asks whether XRP, a popular cryptocurrency, will be trading above a specific price threshold on a specific date next year. There are actually three separate price targets here: $0.70, $0.80, and $0.90. Each one is its own Yes or No question. A Yes means XRP's price is above that number at noon on July 29, 2026. A No means it is at or below it. Right now, XRP trades well above all three of these levels, which is why all three markets sit near 99%. Each market settles based on one single moment: the closing price of XRP against the US dollar on Binance, at exactly 12:00 noon Eastern Time on July 29, 2026, using the one-minute price candle. If that one closing price is strictly above the threshold (say, above $0.70), it resolves Yes. At or below it resolves No. Importantly, it uses only Binance's XRP/USDT pair, not other exchanges or other trading pairs. One minute, one exchange, one price. No specific recent news was provided for this market. The kind of developments worth watching for XRP would be major regulatory decisions, significant changes in broader crypto market conditions, or news specific to Ripple, the company behind XRP, since any of those could meaningfully move the price over the coming year. At 99%, the market is saying these thresholds are almost certainly not a concern, since XRP would need to fall significantly and stay down for over a year. The real uncertainty here is not a balanced debate between Yes and No. It is simply the small but real chance that something dramatic happens, a major market crash, a regulatory shock, or an exchange-specific event on Binance, that pushes XRP below these levels by that exact noon moment. Low probability, but not zero over a 12-month horizon.

The odds right now

• 0.7098%
• 0.8098%
• 0.9097%
• 1.0090%
• 1.1044%
• 1.208%
• 1.303%
• 1.403%
• 1.502%
• 1.602%
• 1.702%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 29, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.