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AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

Resolves Jan 1, 2028·$2.6k 24h vol·tech
$3.4k total volume

December 31, 2027

75%+26.0%
OutcomeYesNo
December 31, 2027
December 31, 2026
September 30, 2026

Order Book

December 31, 2027

PriceSharesTotal
99.0¢2.1k$2.1k
98.0¢58$57
97.0¢217$210
96.0¢25$24
95.0¢12$11
90.0¢21$19
76.0¢80$61
75.0¢685$513
75.0¢last trade
1.0¢ spread
74.0¢518$383
73.0¢207$151
72.0¢20$14
71.0¢100$71
62.0¢65$40
61.0¢180$110
60.0¢140$84
58.0¢27$16
$870 bids$3.0k asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an eligible AI lab, or an official representative of an eligible AI lab, announces that the lab has solved any of the qualifying Millennium Prize Problems by 11:59 PM ET of the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The qualifying problems are the Riemann Hypothesis, P versus NP, the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem, the Hodge Conjecture, and the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture (https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/). Announcements concerning the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem will not qualify. A qualifying announcement must express that the problem has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from Clay Math Institute or any other organization is required. The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

December 31, 2027

75%