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Anthropic lab leak by...?

Anthropic lab leak by...?

Resolves Jul 1, 2027·$1.4k 24h vol·tech
$1.4k total volume

June 30, 2027

15%-33.5%
OutcomeYesNo
June 30, 2027
December 31, 2026

Order Book

June 30, 2027

PriceSharesTotal
95.0¢14$13
46.0¢20$9
37.0¢17$6
29.0¢20$6
19.0¢110$21
18.0¢336$60
17.0¢200$34
16.0¢601$96
no trades yet
2.0¢ spread
14.0¢252$35
13.0¢326$42
12.0¢424$51
11.0¢903$99
10.0¢93$9
3.0¢24$1
2.0¢216$4
1.0¢379$4
$246 bids$246 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a pathogen developed, modified, or handled at a wet lab operated by Anthropic is confirmed to have escaped that facility between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Confirmation that the pathogen escaped the laboratory, research facility, diagnostic facility, or other controlled laboratory setting in which it was contained is required. Investigations, speculation, statements that an escape is possible or has not been ruled out, or statements unverified by a consensus of credible reporting will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

June 30, 2027

15%