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Berlin State Election: 3rd Place

Berlin State Election: 3rd Place

Resolves Sep 20, 2026·$1.5k 24h vol·politics
$4.5k total volume·Open for 4 days

AfD

35%-11.0%
OutcomeYesNo
AfD
Grüne
CDU
Linke
BSW
FDP
SPD
FW

Order Book

AfD

PriceSharesTotal
52.0¢95$49
51.0¢228$116
48.0¢20$10
44.0¢20$9
43.0¢13$5
42.0¢13$5
41.0¢65$27
40.0¢43$17
39.0¢50$20
36.0¢120$43
34.0¢last trade
2.0¢ spread
34.0¢316$107
32.0¢75$24
22.0¢99$22
18.0¢200$36
17.0¢3.6k$620
16.0¢7.0k$1.1k
15.0¢2.8k$414
14.0¢7.1k$1,000
12.0¢12.6k$1.5k
10.0¢11.1k$1.1k
$6.0k bids$301 asks

Resolution Criteria

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election. If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)

AfD

35%