CA-04 House Election Winner (by individual)
Resolves Nov 4, 2026·$149 24h vol·politics
$3.2k total volume·Open for 5 days
Mike Thompson
87%+32.5%
OutcomeYesNo24h Vol
Mike Thompson
$142
Eric Jones
$7
Order Book
Mike Thompson
PriceSharesTotal
96.0¢202$194
95.0¢178$169
94.0¢441$414
93.0¢81$75
92.0¢13$12
91.0¢354$322
90.0¢844$759
89.0¢327$291
88.0¢939$826
87.0¢224$194
87.0¢last trade
1.0¢ spread86.0¢224$192
85.0¢214$182
84.0¢321$270
83.0¢137$114
82.0¢132$108
81.0¢114$92
79.0¢10$8
78.0¢732$571
48.0¢100$48
46.0¢543$250
$1.8k bids$3.3k asks
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
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Mike Thompson
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