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CA-24 House Election Winner

CA-24 House Election Winner

Resolves Nov 4, 2026·$180 24h vol·politics
$52.4k total volume·Open for 272 days

Salud Carbajal (D)

98%+0.9%
OutcomeYesNo
Salud Carbajal (D)
Bob Smith (R)

Order Book

Salud Carbajal (D)

PriceSharesTotal
99.9¢585$584
99.8¢423$422
99.7¢173$173
99.6¢310$309
99.4¢167$166
99.3¢10$10
98.0¢95$93
97.5¢last trade
0.9¢ spread
97.1¢100$97
97.0¢101$98
96.9¢19$18
93.1¢200$186
93.0¢100$93
92.0¢120$110
91.0¢100$91
41.1¢214$88
$782 bids$1.8k asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Salud Carbajal (D)

98%