
December 31
Order Book
December 31
Resolution Criteria
On September 8, 2026, Meta launched Muse, a personal AI agent that runs on a cloud computer dedicated to each user, and made it free to use, including the cloud computer. On September 29, 2026, OpenAI launched a similar product, Dots, available only on paid ChatGPT plans. This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI makes Dots available for use without requiring a paid subscription or other paid entitlement by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Free access subject to usage limits will qualify. Access through a free trial or promotional offer of a paid plan will not qualify. Free access must be launched and publicly accessible through an official distribution channel, including via open beta or a gradual rollout to users without a paid subscription or other paid entitlement. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. Availability limited to certain countries will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
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December 31
30%