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First Round Outright Winner in the LA-04 House Election?

First Round Outright Winner in the LA-04 House Election?

Resolves Nov 3, 2026·$368 24h vol·politics
$368 total volume

First Round Outright Winner in the LA-04 House Election?

88%+35.0%
OutcomeYesNo
First Round Outright Winner in the LA-04 House Election?

Order Book

First Round Outright Winner in the LA-04 House Election?

PriceSharesTotal
99.0¢22$21
96.0¢327$314
95.0¢195$185
94.0¢10$10
91.0¢20$18
90.0¢645$580
no trades yet
4.0¢ spread
86.0¢297$256
85.0¢20$17
83.0¢60$50
79.0¢16$13
78.0¢20$16
76.0¢100$76
73.0¢20$15
39.0¢141$55
$497 bids$1.1k asks

Resolution Criteria

The first round of the 2026 midterm LA-04 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm LA-04 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the LA-04 House election.

First Round Outright Winner in the LA-04 House Election?

88%