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GPT-6 released by…?

GPT-6 released by…?

Resolves Dec 31, 2025·$7.2k 24h vol·tech
$613.1k total volume·Open for 347 days

December 31, 2026

87%+5.0%
OutcomeYesNo
December 31, 2026
September 30, 2026
August 31, 2026
August 21, 2026
August 14, 2026
August 7, 2026
July 31, 2026

Order Book

December 31, 2026

PriceSharesTotal
95.0¢286$272
94.0¢404$380
93.0¢678$630
92.0¢535$492
91.0¢219$199
90.0¢1.0k$920
89.0¢6.5k$5.8k
88.0¢2.9k$2.6k
88.0¢last trade
2.0¢ spread
86.0¢1.9k$1.6k
85.0¢2.1k$1.8k
84.0¢150$126
76.0¢10$8
72.0¢5$4
71.0¢311$221
70.0¢3.5k$2.5k
69.0¢50$35
$6.2k bids$11.3k asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. GPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

December 31, 2026

87%