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GPT-6 released by…?

GPT-6 released by…?

Resolves Jan 1, 2027·$355.8k 24h vol·tech
$2.1M total volume·Open for 391 days

December 31, 2026

96%+6.7%
OutcomeYesNo
December 31, 2026
November 30, 2026
October 31, 2026
September 30, 2026
September 15, 2026

Order Book

December 31, 2026

PriceSharesTotal
97.9¢309$303
97.8¢7.1k$7.0k
97.7¢1.8k$1.7k
97.2¢400$389
96.7¢59$57
96.6¢5$5
96.4¢220$212
96.3¢299$288
96.2¢last trade
1.1¢ spread
95.2¢495$471
95.1¢367$349
95.0¢200$190
94.1¢1.5k$1.4k
94.0¢14.7k$13.8k
93.0¢9.8k$9.1k
92.0¢2.0k$1.8k
90.2¢132$119
$27.3k bids$10.0k asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. GPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

December 31, 2026

96%