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Highest temperature in Austin on July 22?

Highest temperature in Austin on July 22?

Resolves Jul 22, 2026·$8.8k 24h vol·weather
$8.8k total volume

104-105°F

44%+10.5%

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Understand this market

This market asks: exactly how hot will Austin, Texas get on July 22, 2026? Not just whether it will be hot, but which two-degree range the peak temperature will fall into. The leading options are 104-105°F (roughly 40°C), 102-103°F (about 39°C), and 106-107°F (about 41°C). Think of it as picking the right slot on a thermometer for the hottest moment of that single day in Austin.

OutcomeYesNo
104-105°F
102-103°F
106-107°F
100-101°F
108-109°F
98-99°F
110-111°F
96-97°F
93°F or below
94-95°F

Order Book

104-105°F

PriceSharesTotal
59.0¢150$89
52.0¢5$3
51.0¢57$29
50.0¢45$23
48.0¢49$24
47.0¢434$204
46.0¢947$435
45.0¢689$310
44.0¢last trade
2.0¢ spread
43.0¢574$247
42.0¢1.4k$596
41.0¢199$82
34.0¢20$7
33.0¢84$28
31.0¢336$104
29.0¢5$1
26.0¢706$184
$1.2k bids$1.1k asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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104-105°F

45%