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Highest temperature in Dallas on July 22?

Highest temperature in Dallas on July 22?

Resolves Jul 22, 2026·$10.6k 24h vol·weather
$10.6k total volume

104-105°F

40%-8.5%

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Understand this market

This market is asking: how hot will Dallas get on July 22, 2026, and which temperature band will the day's peak fall into? The options are ranges like 102-103°F, 104-105°F, and 106-107°F. A 'Yes' for a given range means the hottest reading of that day lands inside those two degrees. To put it in physical terms, 104-105°F is a scorching summer afternoon where pavement burns and outdoor work becomes dangerous, and 106-107°F pushes that further into territory that sets heat records even for Dallas.

OutcomeYesNo
104-105°F
106-107°F
102-103°F
108-109°F
100-101°F
112-113°F
110-111°F
98-99°F
95°F or below
96-97°F

Order Book

104-105°F

PriceSharesTotal
52.0¢7$4
50.0¢26$13
49.0¢100$49
46.0¢5$2
45.0¢100$45
43.0¢183$79
42.0¢1.8k$768
41.0¢583$239
41.0¢last trade
2.0¢ spread
39.0¢545$213
38.0¢1.7k$631
37.0¢13.8k$5.1k
36.0¢6$2
30.0¢23$7
29.0¢55$16
24.0¢30$7
22.0¢35$8
$6.0k bids$1.2k asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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104-105°F

41%