Highest temperature in Dallas on July 22?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking: how hot will Dallas get on July 22, 2026, and which temperature band will the day's peak fall into? The options are ranges like 102-103°F, 104-105°F, and 106-107°F. A 'Yes' for a given range means the hottest reading of that day lands inside those two degrees. To put it in physical terms, 104-105°F is a scorching summer afternoon where pavement burns and outdoor work becomes dangerous, and 106-107°F pushes that further into territory that sets heat records even for Dallas. The market settles based on the single highest temperature reading logged at Dallas Love Field Station (airport code KDAL) on July 22, 2026, as shown on Weather Underground's historical data page for that station. Whichever 2-degree range contains that peak reading wins. The market uses whole-degree Fahrenheit readings only, so decimals are not a factor. It cannot close until at least one reading from July 23 appears, locking in the July 22 data. After that cutoff, any later corrections to the record are ignored. There is no recent news relevant to this market. The only headline provided is about groundwater management in Islamabad, which has nothing to do with Dallas temperatures. What would actually matter here: any extended heat forecasts for the Dallas area published closer to July 22, 2026, or reports of an unusual weather pattern, like a persistent heat dome over Texas, would be the key things to watch as the date approaches. July weather in Dallas is genuinely hard to pin down more than a few days in advance, even in a city famous for summer heat. The three leading ranges span 102°F to 107°F, and the market spreads its weight across all of them, with none commanding a clear majority. A single weather system, cloud cover, or shift in wind direction can push a day's peak several degrees in either direction. The reading also comes from one specific station, Love Field, so hyperlocal conditions there matter too, not just the broader city forecast.

The odds right now

• 104-105°F40%
• 106-107°F35%
• 102-103°F16%
• 108-109°F9%
• 100-101°F2%
• 110-111°F0%
• 112-113°F0%
• 98-99°F0%
• 96-97°F0%
• 95°F or below0%
• 114°F or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 22, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.