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Highest temperature in Mexico City on July 22?

Highest temperature in Mexico City on July 22?

Resolves Jul 22, 2026·$8.9k 24h vol·weather
$8.9k total volume

27°C

43%+8.0%

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Understand this market

This market is asking a simple weather question: how hot will Mexico City get on July 22, 2026? Specifically, it asks which temperature band the day's peak heat will fall into, with 27°C (about 81°F) being the most favored answer right now, followed by 26°C and 28°C. July is deep in Mexico City's rainy season, when afternoons are warm but clouds and rain can keep the peak from climbing too high.

OutcomeYesNo
27°C
26°C
28°C
25°C
29°C
24°C
30°C
22°C or below
23°C
31°C

Order Book

27°C

PriceSharesTotal
52.0¢14$7
51.0¢30$15
50.0¢17$9
49.0¢105$51
48.0¢45$22
46.0¢495$228
45.0¢1.5k$658
44.0¢410$180
44.0¢last trade
2.0¢ spread
42.0¢743$312
41.0¢2.0k$813
40.0¢13.7k$5.5k
36.0¢20$7
32.0¢7$2
30.0¢55$17
27.0¢30$8
22.0¢5$1
$6.7k bids$1.2k asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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27°C

43%