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Highest temperature in NYC on July 22?

Highest temperature in NYC on July 22?

Resolves Jul 22, 2026·$10.4k 24h vol·weather
$10.4k total volume

86-87°F

38%+7.0%

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Understand this market

This market is asking a simple weather question: how hot will New York City get on July 22, 2026? Specifically, it is asking which 2-degree temperature band will contain the day's peak heat. A result of 84-85°F means a warm but comfortable summer day. A result of 86-87°F means noticeably hot. A result of 88-89°F means a genuinely sweltering day. The measurement comes from one specific location: the official weather station at LaGuardia Airport.

OutcomeYesNo
86-87°F
84-85°F
88-89°F
82-83°F
90-91°F
80-81°F
78-79°F
76-77°F
92-93°F
75°F or below

Order Book

86-87°F

PriceSharesTotal
48.0¢182$87
47.0¢369$173
44.0¢181$79
43.0¢5$2
41.0¢168$69
40.0¢533$213
39.0¢1.2k$469
38.0¢19$7
38.0¢last trade
1.0¢ spread
37.0¢5$2
36.0¢707$255
35.0¢491$172
34.0¢275$94
32.0¢5$2
28.0¢7$2
26.0¢55$14
20.0¢5$1
$541 bids$1.1k asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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86-87°F

38%