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How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?

How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?

Resolves Dec 1, 2026·$1.3k 24h vol·weather
$1.3k total volume

1-3

40%-10.5%
OutcomeYesNo
1-3
4-6
7+
0

Order Book

1-3

PriceSharesTotal
99.0¢16$16
98.0¢300$294
97.0¢25$25
42.0¢317$133
41.0¢360$148
40.0¢170$68
no trades yet
1.0¢ spread
39.0¢170$66
38.0¢369$140
37.0¢315$117
3.0¢25$1
2.0¢300$6
1.0¢11$0
$330 bids$683 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic from the creation of this market through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET. If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic from the creation of this market through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET, then this market will resolve to "0". A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php. This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.

1-3

40%