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How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?

How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?

Resolves Jan 1, 2027·$25 24h vol·weather
$30.9k total volume·Open for 49 days

1-3

63%+26.5%
OutcomeYesNo
1-3
0
4-6
7+

Order Book

1-3

PriceSharesTotal
71.0¢84$60
70.0¢100$70
69.0¢9$6
68.0¢278$189
67.0¢581$389
66.0¢195$129
65.0¢1.2k$778
64.0¢775$496
61.0¢last trade
3.0¢ spread
61.0¢90$55
60.0¢180$108
59.0¢45$27
58.0¢46$27
56.0¢80$45
55.0¢200$110
53.0¢17$9
52.0¢19$10
$390 bids$2.1k asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0". A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php. This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.

1-3

63%