← Markets
How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?

How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026·$218 24h vol·weather
$286 total volume·Open for 8 days

7+

44%+4.0%
OutcomeYesNo
7+
1-3
4-6
0

Order Book

7+

PriceSharesTotal
89.0¢20$18
88.0¢8$7
84.0¢55$46
83.0¢45$37
74.0¢10$7
70.0¢70$49
69.0¢40$28
68.0¢105$71
50.0¢last trade
48.0¢ spread
20.0¢29$6
19.0¢20$4
12.0¢5$1
10.0¢21$2
2.0¢20$0
1.0¢50$1
$13 bids$264 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0". A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php. This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.

7+

45%