← Markets
How many Israeli elections before government formed?

How many Israeli elections before government formed?

Resolves Oct 27, 2026·$26.8k 24h vol·politics
$225.6k total volume·Open for 95 days

1

49%-13.0%
OutcomeYesNo
1
2
3
4
5+

Order Book

1

PriceSharesTotal
57.0¢471$268
56.0¢40$22
55.0¢425$234
54.0¢721$389
53.0¢358$190
52.0¢862$448
51.0¢1.5k$782
50.0¢338$169
47.0¢last trade
2.0¢ spread
48.0¢100$48
47.0¢1.7k$783
46.0¢1.4k$649
45.0¢100$45
43.0¢1.2k$495
39.0¢18$7
38.0¢448$170
34.0¢1.1k$381
$2.6k bids$2.5k asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve according to the number of Israeli legislative elections that occur between market creation and the formation of a government in the Knesset or December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, whichever comes earlier. This market will resolve solely based on the number of elections that occur, where occurrence is defined as nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel. Publication of an election’s results will have no bearing on this market. Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the dates of general election-day voting will count. A government will be considered formed if it passes a vote of confidence in the Knesset. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

1

49%