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How many Tesla deliveries in Q4 2026?

How many Tesla deliveries in Q4 2026?

Resolves Mar 1, 2027·$966 24h vol·tech
$966 total volume

450k to 475k

30%+1.0%
OutcomeYesNo
450k to 475k
<400k
475k to 500k
575k+
425k to 450k
500k to 525k
525k to 550k
400k to 425k
550k to 575k

Order Book

450k to 475k

PriceSharesTotal
89.0¢27$24
73.0¢5$4
72.0¢7$5
35.0¢21$7
34.0¢20$7
32.0¢88$28
31.0¢308$95
30.0¢431$129
no trades yet
1.0¢ spread
29.0¢827$240
28.0¢330$92
27.0¢118$32
26.0¢30$8
24.0¢21$5
2.0¢144$3
1.0¢240$2
$382 bids$300 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q4 2026. If Tesla does not publish Q4 2026 delivery figures by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press; however, other official company sources or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market.

450k to 475k

30%