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Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

Resolves Aug 31, 2026·$228 24h vol·politics
$228 total volume

August 31

80%+34.5%
OutcomeYesNo
August 31
July 31

Order Book

August 31

PriceSharesTotal
99.0¢160$159
98.0¢56$54
97.0¢217$210
96.0¢25$24
95.0¢17$16
92.0¢13$12
88.0¢8$7
82.0¢last trade
16.0¢ spread
72.0¢54$39
71.0¢11$8
67.0¢770$516
66.0¢200$132
65.0¢100$65
61.0¢100$61
60.0¢100$60
51.0¢100$51
$932 bids$482 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.

August 31

80%