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JD Vance announces a presidential run by...?

JD Vance announces a presidential run by...?

Resolves Jul 1, 2027·$2.4k 24h vol·politics
$2.4k total volume

June 30, 2027

34%-2.5%
OutcomeYesNo
June 30, 2027
March 31, 2027

Order Book

June 30, 2027

PriceSharesTotal
99.0¢78$78
98.0¢25$24
88.0¢300$264
59.0¢20$12
54.0¢60$32
43.0¢20$9
42.0¢20$8
41.0¢6$2
no trades yet
15.0¢ spread
26.0¢15$4
25.0¢49$12
18.0¢43$8
14.0¢99$14
10.0¢21$2
9.0¢5$0
8.0¢300$24
7.0¢1.3k$93
$157 bids$430 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if J.D. Vance officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by J.D. Vance will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by J.D. Vance (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

June 30, 2027

34%