← Markets
Measles cases in U.S. by October 31?

Measles cases in U.S. by October 31?

Resolves Nov 1, 2026·$1.3k 24h vol·weather
$1.3k total volume

3700+

98%+5.4%
OutcomeYesNo
3700+
3900+
4000+
3800+
4100+
4200+
4300+

Order Book

3700+

PriceSharesTotal
99.9¢65$65
99.8¢69$69
99.4¢21$21
99.0¢9$9
98.9¢91$90
99.0¢last trade
1.9¢ spread
97.0¢40$39
96.3¢21$20
87.0¢200$174
76.0¢100$76
5.0¢300$15
4.0¢500$20
3.3¢1.0k$33
3.0¢833$25
$402 bids$253 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.

3700+

98%