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NATO downs another Russian drone by...?

NATO downs another Russian drone by...?

Resolves Aug 31, 2026·$433 24h vol·politics
$433 total volume

August 31

62%+13.0%
OutcomeYesNo
August 31
July 31

Order Book

August 31

PriceSharesTotal
97.0¢10$10
96.0¢25$24
93.0¢14$13
92.0¢10$9
89.0¢9$8
88.0¢58$51
84.0¢6$5
78.0¢7$5
78.0¢last trade
32.0¢ spread
46.0¢26$12
45.0¢70$32
40.0¢400$160
35.0¢20$7
34.0¢20$7
33.0¢777$256
32.0¢20$6
30.0¢20$6
$486 bids$126 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a NATO military downs another Russian drone by any means (kinetic, jammer, etc.) between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM Kyiv Time. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. The occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying incident will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant incident, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the incident based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (CEST) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the incident. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the incident, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.

August 31

62%