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Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?

Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?

Resolves Jan 1, 2028·$533 24h vol·politics
$533 total volume

No Next Chancellor before 2028

45%-20.5%
OutcomeYesNo
No Next Chancellor before 2028
Hendrik Wüst
Lars Klingbeil
Carsten Linnemann
Boris Pistorius
Sahra Wagenknecht
Markus Söder
Felix Banaszak
Katharina Dröge
Tino Chrupalla

Order Book

No Next Chancellor before 2028

PriceSharesTotal
78.0¢50$39
67.0¢300$201
62.0¢150$93
61.0¢70$43
60.0¢45$27
50.0¢20$10
49.0¢40$20
48.0¢10$5
no trades yet
7.0¢ spread
41.0¢18$8
40.0¢5$2
39.0¢5$2
38.0¢5$2
37.0¢5$2
36.0¢5$2
35.0¢5$2
34.0¢5$2
$20 bids$437 asks

Resolution Criteria

Friedrich Merz has served as Chancellor of Germany since May 6, 2025. This market will resolve to the next individual, other than Friedrich Merz, who assumes the office of Chancellor of Germany. To count for resolution, the individual must be elected Chancellor by the Bundestag and appointed by the Federal President. Any acting or caretaker Chancellor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Chancellor takes office, or if Friedrich Merz is the next individual elected Chancellor, by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next Chancellor before 2028”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bundestag and the Federal Government of Germany; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

No Next Chancellor before 2028

50%