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Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

Resolves Nov 1, 2026·$8.9k 24h vol·tech
$1.3M total volume·Open for 101 days

October 31

69%+16.0%
OutcomeYesNo
October 31
October 15
September 30
September 15

Order Book

October 31

PriceSharesTotal
83.0¢47$39
79.0¢568$449
75.0¢567$425
73.0¢50$37
72.0¢411$296
71.0¢501$356
70.0¢700$490
69.0¢738$509
69.0¢last trade
1.0¢ spread
68.0¢424$288
67.0¢250$168
66.0¢990$653
65.0¢513$333
63.0¢100$63
62.0¢153$95
61.0¢270$164
60.0¢350$210
$2.0k bids$2.6k asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

October 31

69%