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Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

Resolves Jul 31, 2026·$5.2k 24h vol·tech
$59.6k total volume·Open for 12 days

July 31

97%+2.0%

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Understand this market

This market is asking: when will Google publicly release its next AI model with 'Pro' in the name? Google's Gemini lineup has tiers — Flash models are faster and cheaper, while Pro models are the more powerful, full-featured versions. The question isn't whether Google will release one at all, but how soon. Three separate deadline bets exist: June 26, June 30, and July 31, 2026 — each one asking if the release happens before that specific date.

OutcomeYesNo
July 31
June 30
June 26
June 19
June 12

Order Book

July 31

PriceSharesTotal
99.8¢1.5k$1.5k
99.5¢449$447
99.4¢411$408
99.0¢679$672
98.9¢200$198
98.8¢300$296
98.7¢100$99
98.3¢142$140
98.2¢375$368
98.1¢20$20
1.5¢last trade
1.3¢ spread
96.8¢30$29
96.7¢400$387
95.5¢1.7k$1.6k
95.4¢301$287
95.0¢198$188
92.3¢174$160
92.1¢200$184
82.9¢39$32
82.8¢18$15
82.6¢11$9
$2.9k bids$4.1k asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

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July 31

97%