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Nobel Economics Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Economics Prize Winner 2026

Resolves Oct 13, 2026·$13.5k 24h vol·culture
$13.5k total volume

Ariel Pakes

33%+12.5%
OutcomeYesNo
Ariel Pakes
Susan Athey
Robert Barro
Richard Blundell
Partha Dasgupta
Matthew Rabin
Andreu Mas-Colell
Ernst Fehr
Luigi Zingales

Order Book

Ariel Pakes

PriceSharesTotal
97.0¢20$19
39.0¢200$78
38.0¢185$70
37.0¢50$19
36.0¢43$15
35.0¢447$157
34.0¢353$120
33.0¢878$290
33.0¢last trade
1.0¢ spread
32.0¢254$81
31.0¢50$16
30.0¢617$185
29.0¢81$23
22.0¢20$4
20.0¢35$7
18.0¢53$10
15.0¢20$3
$329 bids$768 asks

Resolution Criteria

The Nobel Prize in Economics is awarded annually by the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences. The 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics is scheduled to be announced on October 12, 2026, at 11:45 AM CEST (5:45 AM ET) at the earliest. The Nobel Prize in Economics means the Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed person is named a laureate of the 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics in the official announcement from the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The prize may be shared by up to three laureates. A listed person who shares the 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics will resolve to "Yes" regardless of how many other laureates are named alongside them. If the 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics is withheld, is reserved for a later year, or has otherwise not been announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the official announcement from the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences, published at https://www.nobelprize.org/; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Ariel Pakes

33%