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People's Bank of China rate change by December 31?

People's Bank of China rate change by December 31?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026·$2.4k 24h vol·economy
$2.4k total volume

No Change

85%+59.0%
OutcomeYesNo
No Change
Decrease
Increase

Order Book

No Change

PriceSharesTotal
95.0¢200$190
94.0¢5$5
93.0¢254$236
89.0¢140$125
88.0¢285$251
87.0¢661$575
86.0¢303$261
85.0¢160$136
85.0¢last trade
1.0¢ spread
84.0¢260$218
83.0¢126$104
82.0¢65$53
81.0¢65$53
78.0¢1.1k$858
76.0¢100$76
4.0¢6$0
3.0¢8$0
$1.4k bids$1.8k asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST). An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate. A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate. If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.

No Change

85%