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Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by August 31?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by August 31?

Resolves Aug 31, 2026·$390 24h vol·politics
$424 total volume·Open for 3 days

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by August 31?

2%-2.6%
OutcomeYesNo
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by August 31?

Order Book

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by August 31?

PriceSharesTotal
60.0¢775$465
59.9¢20$12
7.4¢35$3
4.5¢300$14
2.9¢476$14
2.8¢369$10
2.7¢10.0k$270
2.6¢1.2k$30
2.6¢last trade
1.5¢ spread
1.1¢15$0
1.0¢10$0
0.8¢1.6k$12
0.7¢1.6k$11
0.6¢1.6k$9
0.5¢1.3k$6
0.4¢1.8k$7
0.3¢3.0k$9
$56 bids$817 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by August 31?

2%