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Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026·$25.8k 24h vol·politics
$1.2M total volume·Open for 114 days

December 31

61%-11.5%
OutcomeYesNo
December 31
November 30
October 31
October 15

Order Book

December 31

PriceSharesTotal
69.0¢5$3
68.0¢435$296
67.0¢51$34
66.0¢441$291
65.0¢1.4k$895
64.0¢252$161
63.0¢585$369
62.0¢219$136
61.0¢last trade
2.0¢ spread
60.0¢363$218
59.0¢662$391
58.0¢73$42
57.0¢186$106
56.0¢50$28
55.0¢264$145
54.0¢300$162
52.0¢94$49
$1.1k bids$2.2k asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.

December 31

61%