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Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

Resolves Jan 1, 2027·$269 24h vol·politics
$1.9k total volume·Open for 85 days

December 31

50%+2.5%
OutcomeYesNo
December 31
October 31

Order Book

December 31

PriceSharesTotal
98.0¢25$25
97.0¢9$8
96.0¢5$5
94.0¢25$24
93.0¢8$7
91.0¢18$17
89.0¢80$71
88.0¢78$69
50.0¢last trade
77.0¢ spread
11.0¢38$4
10.0¢7$1
9.0¢9$1
8.0¢6$0
7.0¢12$1
6.0¢93$6
5.0¢159$8
4.0¢250$10
$30 bids$225 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify. Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm. The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

December 31

50%