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Two SpaceX Starships dock together by…?

Two SpaceX Starships dock together by…?

Resolves Dec 31, 2028·$855 24h vol·tech
3 comments·$45.0k total volume·Open for 31 days

December 31, 2027

76%+23.5%
OutcomeYesNo
December 31, 2027
December 31, 2026

Order Book

December 31, 2027

PriceSharesTotal
95.0¢10$10
94.0¢83$78
93.0¢8$7
90.0¢5$5
87.0¢5$4
86.0¢0$0
85.0¢80$68
82.0¢17$14
80.0¢17$13
78.0¢483$376
78.0¢last trade
5.0¢ spread
73.0¢42$30
72.0¢112$81
71.0¢124$88
69.0¢128$88
68.0¢146$99
67.0¢300$201
64.0¢36$23
62.0¢200$124
61.0¢12$7
60.0¢10$6
$748 bids$575 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface. The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

December 31, 2027

76%