US defaults on debt by 2027?
Resolves Dec 31, 2026·$89 24h vol·politics
$16.0k total volume·Open for 257 days
US defaults on debt by 2027?
5%+1.7%
OutcomeYesNo1W24h Vol
+1.3%
$89
Order Book
US defaults on debt by 2027?
PriceSharesTotal
8.2¢6$0
8.0¢501$40
7.8¢500$39
7.7¢194$15
5.8¢120$7
5.7¢13$1
5.5¢30$2
5.4¢33$2
3.7¢last trade
1.5¢ spread3.9¢19$1
3.8¢85$3
3.7¢101$4
3.6¢26$1
3.4¢49$2
3.3¢45$1
2.5¢13$0
0.5¢2.0k$10
$22 bids$106 asks
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.
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US defaults on debt by 2027?
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