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Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?

Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026·$210 24h vol·politics
$41.3k total volume·Open for 198 days

Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?

5%-4.0%
OutcomeYesNo
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?

Order Book

Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?

PriceSharesTotal
12.2¢250$31
12.1¢200$24
9.9¢350$35
9.8¢373$37
9.0¢105$9
8.9¢15$1
8.8¢40$4
7.0¢29$2
5.6¢last trade
3.3¢ spread
3.7¢40$1
3.6¢20$1
3.5¢56$2
3.2¢10$0
3.1¢71$2
3.0¢63$2
1.5¢19$0
1.4¢20$0
$9 bids$142 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ursula von der Leyen ceases to be the President of the European Commission for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of von der Leyen's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Commission and the European Union, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?

5%