← Markets
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?

What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?

Resolves Dec 2, 2026·$129 24h vol·weather
$24.2k total volume·Open for 48 days

Fay

36%+30.0%
OutcomeYesNo
Fay
Gonzalo
Other
Isaias
Hanna
Edouard
Josephine
Kyle
Dolly
Leah

Order Book

Fay

PriceSharesTotal
65.0¢13$8
64.0¢50$32
63.0¢40$25
58.0¢19$11
57.0¢64$36
56.0¢30$17
37.0¢76$28
36.0¢83$30
35.0¢last trade
1.0¢ spread
35.0¢156$54
34.0¢132$45
7.0¢57$4
3.0¢30$1
2.0¢12$0
1.0¢21$0
$105 bids$188 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve according to the name of the first named storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic from the creation of this market through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET. If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET, then this market resolves to "Other". A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php. A tropical storm will not qualify as a hurricane even if it is named. All names are from the NHC list of 2026 Atlantic Names (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutnames.shtml). This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward.

Fay

36%