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Where will it rain on September 16?

Where will it rain on September 16?

Resolves Sep 17, 2026·$366 24h vol·weather
$366 total volume

Chicago, IL

75%-0.5%
OutcomeYesNo
Chicago, IL
Phoenix, AZ
Los Angeles, CA
New Orleans, LA
Houston, TX
Miami, FL
San Francisco, CA
Denver, CO
New York, NY
Philadelphia, PA

Order Book

Chicago, IL

PriceSharesTotal
99.0¢406$402
98.0¢243$238
97.0¢56$54
no trades yet
44.0¢ spread
53.0¢9$5
2.0¢243$5
1.0¢406$4
$14 bids$694 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" for each listed city that records measurable precipitation on September 16, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station. A report of trace ("T") does not qualify. The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types. The observation period is the NWS climate day for each station: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning. Each city is an independent market. Any number of cities may resolve "Yes", including all of them or none of them. This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for each city's station.

Chicago, IL

75%