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Which company has the best AI model end of November?

Which company has the best AI model end of November?

Resolves Dec 1, 2026·$41.8k 24h vol·tech
$694.1k total volume·Open for 45 days

Google

66%+12.0%
OutcomeYesNo
Google
Anthropic
OpenAI
Meta
SpaceXAI
Alibaba
Moonshot
Z.ai
DeepSeek
Xiaomi

Order Book

Google

PriceSharesTotal
75.0¢432$324
73.0¢683$499
72.0¢104$75
71.0¢1.1k$802
70.0¢2.0k$1.4k
69.0¢1.2k$821
68.0¢1.4k$975
67.0¢5$3
68.0¢last trade
2.0¢ spread
65.0¢352$229
64.0¢2.7k$1.8k
63.0¢72$45
61.0¢200$122
58.0¢300$174
57.0¢630$359
56.0¢2.8k$1.6k
55.0¢100$55
$4.3k bids$4.9k asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

Google

66%