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Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?

Resolves Oct 31, 2026·$2.5k 24h vol·tech
$26.2k total volume·Open for 44 days

Anthropic

86%+24.5%
OutcomeYesNo
Anthropic
OpenAI
Meta
Google
Moonshot
Baidu
Xiaomi
DeepSeek
Amazon
ByteDance

Order Book

Anthropic

PriceSharesTotal
96.0¢810$778
95.0¢188$179
94.0¢183$172
93.0¢123$114
92.0¢20$18
91.0¢115$105
90.0¢898$808
89.0¢125$111
87.0¢last trade
5.0¢ spread
84.0¢20$17
82.0¢326$267
64.0¢50$32
63.0¢201$127
57.0¢5$3
56.0¢20$11
55.0¢5$3
54.0¢13$7
$467 bids$2.3k asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET. Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”

Anthropic

86%