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Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

Resolves Dec 31, 2027·$7.3k 24h vol·politics
$79.5k total volume·Open for 44 days

J.D. Vance

90%+13.7%
OutcomeYesNo
J.D. Vance
Pete Buttigieg
Ron DeSantis
Jon Ossoff
Andrew Yang
Gavin Newsom
Kamala Harris
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Mark Kelly
Ted Cruz

Order Book

J.D. Vance

PriceSharesTotal
90.8¢259$235
90.5¢220$199
90.3¢120$108
90.2¢20$18
90.1¢20$18
90.0¢21$19
89.9¢239$215
89.8¢351$315
89.8¢last trade
0.1¢ spread
89.7¢109$98
89.1¢20$18
89.0¢20$18
88.9¢20$18
88.8¢46$41
88.7¢60$53
88.6¢70$62
88.5¢42$37
$344 bids$1.1k asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

J.D. Vance

90%