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Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

Resolves Dec 31, 2027·$895 24h vol·politics
$895 total volume

Ted Cruz

78%+27.5%
OutcomeYesNo
Ted Cruz
Ron DeSantis
Pete Buttigieg
J.D. Vance
J.B. Pritzker
Josh Shapiro
Gretchen Whitmer
Nikki Haley
Kamala Harris
Gavin Newsom

Order Book

Ted Cruz

PriceSharesTotal
99.0¢91$91
98.0¢64$63
97.0¢32$31
79.0¢last trade
22.0¢ spread
75.0¢20$15
58.0¢34$20
30.0¢20$6
24.0¢20$5
21.0¢21$4
15.0¢20$3
3.0¢46$1
2.0¢86$2
$56 bids$185 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Ted Cruz

77%