← Markets
Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

Resolves Jan 1, 2028·$1.4k 24h vol·politics
$149.7k total volume·Open for 90 days

Andy Beshear

88%-0.8%
OutcomeYesNo
Andy Beshear
Pete Buttigieg
Gavin Newsom
Ted Cruz
J.D. Vance
Josh Shapiro
Rahm Emanuel
J.B. Pritzker
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Mark Kelly

Order Book

Andy Beshear

PriceSharesTotal
90.8¢20$18
90.0¢21$19
89.8¢20$18
89.6¢94$84
89.5¢380$340
89.4¢113$101
89.3¢75$67
89.2¢47$42
87.8¢last trade
2.1¢ spread
87.1¢40$35
87.0¢12$11
86.8¢10$9
86.7¢69$60
86.5¢100$87
86.4¢50$43
85.8¢126$108
41.0¢439$180
$532 bids$689 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Andy Beshear

88%