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Who will be Trump's AI "czar" in 2026?

Who will be Trump's AI "czar" in 2026?

Resolves Jan 1, 2027·$828 24h vol·tech
$828 total volume

Jay Clayton

30%-16.5%
OutcomeYesNo
Jay Clayton
Michael Kratsios
Sriram Krishnan
Scott Kupor
Chamath Palihapitiya
Sean Cairncross
Emil Michael
No Czar by December 31

Order Book

Jay Clayton

PriceSharesTotal
73.0¢50$37
66.0¢65$43
61.0¢18$11
60.0¢40$24
54.0¢5$3
41.0¢72$29
32.0¢55$17
31.0¢166$52
no trades yet
3.0¢ spread
28.0¢269$75
27.0¢70$19
22.0¢40$9
6.0¢33.3k$2.0k
5.0¢50.0k$2.5k
3.0¢83.3k$2.5k
2.0¢150.0k$3.0k
1.0¢10$0
$10.1k bids$216 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be AI czar. An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to appoint a specific individual as AI czar will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal appointment actually occurs. Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the AI czar or future AI czar. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify. An announcement will qualify regardless of the name used to refer to AI, including "super intelligence" (SI). However, the person must be announced as the "czar" or a derivative thereof. If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for AI czar by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Czar by December 31”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Jay Clayton

30%