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Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?

Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?

Resolves Jan 1, 2027·$289 24h vol·crypto
$196.5k total volume·Open for 291 days

Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?

1%-1.1%
OutcomeYesNo
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?

Order Book

Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?

PriceSharesTotal
3.8¢35$1
3.5¢35$1
3.3¢70$2
3.1¢19$1
2.8¢105$3
2.4¢5.8k$139
2.3¢27$1
2.2¢43$1
2.3¢last trade
1.5¢ spread
0.7¢130$1
0.6¢2.5k$15
0.5¢1.9k$10
0.4¢5.0k$20
0.3¢383$1
0.2¢10.9k$22
0.1¢19.9k$20
$88 bids$149 asks

Resolution Criteria

On December 9, Google introduced Willow, a breakthrough state-of-the-art quantum chip. This achievement fueled speculation that Bitcoin's encryption may be vulnerable to quantum computers in the not-so-distant future (see https://www.cryptoglobe.com/latest/2024/12/does-googles-new-quantum-chip-willow-threaten-bitcoin-the-crypto-community-responds/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bitcoin stops using SHA-256 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the Bitcoin blockchain, in addition to a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?

1%