Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by...?
Resolves Jul 1, 2027·$6.6k 24h vol·politics
$7.4k total volume·Open for 60 days
June 30, 2027
10%-40.0%
OutcomeYesNo1W24h Vol
June 30, 2027
-42.0%
$6.0k
December 31, 2026
+1.0%
$573
September 30, 2026
+0.3%
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Order Book
June 30, 2027
PriceSharesTotal
55.0¢14$8
50.0¢500$250
25.0¢30$8
22.0¢100$22
20.0¢60$12
18.0¢30$5
16.0¢120$19
15.0¢14$2
no trades yet
11.0¢ spread4.0¢870$35
3.0¢1.3k$38
2.0¢4.9k$97
1.0¢9.3k$93
$263 bids$326 asks
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.
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