Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by...?
Resolves Jul 1, 2027·$100 24h vol·politics
$13.8k total volume·Open for 123 days
June 30, 2027
33%+18.5%
OutcomeYesNo1W24h Vol
June 30, 2027
+19.5%
—
December 31, 2026
+2.5%
$100
Order Book
June 30, 2027
PriceSharesTotal
70.0¢1.5k$1.0k
64.0¢40$26
60.0¢1.5k$900
55.0¢454$249
50.0¢500$250
47.0¢454$213
46.0¢75$35
45.0¢123$55
no trades yet
24.0¢ spread21.0¢40$8
20.0¢10$2
19.0¢250$48
16.0¢100$16
15.0¢100$15
14.0¢250$35
13.0¢2.0k$260
10.0¢40$4
$388 bids$2.8k asks
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.
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June 30, 2027
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