Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by...?
Resolves Dec 31, 2026·$251 24h vol·politics
$362 total volume·Open for 10 days
June 30, 2027
49%+4.0%
OutcomeYesNo1W24h Vol
June 30, 2027
-14.0%
—
December 31, 2026
-39.5%
$251
September 30, 2026
-28.5%
—
Order Book
June 30, 2027
PriceSharesTotal
99.0¢110$109
98.0¢50$49
97.0¢40$39
96.0¢25$24
95.0¢10$10
94.0¢17$16
93.0¢6$6
92.0¢13$12
90.0¢10$9
87.0¢17$15
50.0¢last trade
77.0¢ spread10.0¢18$2
7.0¢6$0
6.0¢250$15
5.0¢375$19
4.0¢2.0k$79
3.0¢1.2k$36
2.0¢1.2k$24
1.0¢2.6k$26
$201 bids$288 asks
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.
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June 30, 2027
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