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Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026·$0 24h vol·tech
$6.5k total volume·Open for 57 days

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?

17%+0.0%
OutcomeYesNo
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?

Order Book

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?

PriceSharesTotal
35.0¢888$311
33.0¢800$264
32.0¢600$192
31.0¢12$4
30.0¢11$3
24.0¢238$57
19.0¢120$23
18.0¢178$32
17.0¢last trade
2.0¢ spread
16.0¢21$3
15.0¢114$17
14.0¢346$48
11.0¢55$6
10.0¢2.0k$205
8.0¢150$12
7.0¢5$0
6.0¢355$21
$314 bids$886 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tesla publicly launches a self-driving taxi service in California by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Services which are limited to Tesla employees or a limited test group without general access will not qualify. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?

17%