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Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?

Resolves Jan 1, 2027·$0 24h vol·tech
$8.9k total volume·Open for 106 days

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?

12%-6.5%
OutcomeYesNo
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?

Order Book

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?

PriceSharesTotal
33.0¢800$264
32.0¢600$192
24.0¢238$57
19.0¢50$10
18.0¢20$4
15.0¢20$3
14.0¢81$11
13.0¢112$15
10.0¢last trade
3.0¢ spread
10.0¢1.8k$184
9.0¢100$9
8.0¢109$9
7.0¢20$1
4.0¢250$10
3.0¢1.3k$39
2.0¢1.5k$30
1.0¢4.2k$42
$325 bids$555 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tesla publicly launches a self-driving taxi service in California by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Services which are limited to Tesla employees or a limited test group without general access will not qualify. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?

12%