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Will Tesla perform another live stunt with the Roadster by...?

Will Tesla perform another live stunt with the Roadster by...?

Resolves May 1, 2027·$998 24h vol·tech
$998 total volume

April 30, 2027

38%-12.0%
OutcomeYesNo
April 30, 2027
December 31, 2026

Order Book

April 30, 2027

PriceSharesTotal
51.0¢21$11
50.0¢20$10
49.0¢20$10
45.0¢40$18
44.0¢25$11
43.0¢100$43
42.0¢95$40
41.0¢130$53
35.0¢last trade
6.0¢ spread
35.0¢199$70
34.0¢70$24
32.0¢480$154
9.0¢44$4
7.0¢9$1
6.0¢10$1
5.0¢10$1
4.0¢300$12
$265 bids$196 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any live, in-person demonstration or event held by Tesla, a version of the Roadster (including a prototype or other non-final version) that is physically present performs any maneuver in which the vehicle is in motion and its cold gas thrusters, fan/suction system, or other similar onboard propulsion or ground-sealing system are activated and in use, in any capacity, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The vehicle does not need to become airborne, reach any particular speed, or achieve any specific outcome for this market to resolve "Yes" — any live use of the cold gas thrusters, fan/suction system, or similar system while the car is moving (e.g., to jump, spin, hover, lift, drift, or otherwise maneuver) qualifies, regardless of how minor or brief. The primary resolution source for this market will be video of the qualifying event, including any official Tesla livestream. Official Tesla statements or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to resolve this market, provided they establish that a live demonstration met the conditions above.

April 30, 2027

38%