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Will the Catholic Church publicly excommunicate anyone else in 2026?

Will the Catholic Church publicly excommunicate anyone else in 2026?

Resolves Jan 1, 2027·$10 24h vol·culture
$1.1k total volume·Open for 80 days

Will the Catholic Church publicly excommunicate anyone else in 2026?

9%-18.0%
OutcomeYesNo
Will the Catholic Church publicly excommunicate anyone else in 2026?

Order Book

Will the Catholic Church publicly excommunicate anyone else in 2026?

PriceSharesTotal
92.0¢5$5
82.0¢6$5
19.0¢44$8
17.0¢8$1
16.0¢13$2
11.0¢18$2
10.0¢105$11
9.0¢48$4
10.0¢last trade
1.0¢ spread
8.0¢19$2
7.0¢40$3
6.0¢85$5
5.0¢45$2
4.0¢660$26
3.0¢10$0
2.0¢258$5
1.0¢916$9
$53 bids$38 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Roman Catholic Church announces the excommunication of any individual or group of individuals subsequent to market creation and by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be information from Pope Leo XIV, official information from the Catholic Church, or a consensus of credible reporting.

Will the Catholic Church publicly excommunicate anyone else in 2026?

9%