← Markets
Will Tropical Storm Lowell strengthen to a hurricane?

Will Tropical Storm Lowell strengthen to a hurricane?

Resolves Sep 9, 2026·$909 24h vol·weather
$909 total volume·Open for 1 days

Will Tropical Storm Lowell strengthen to a hurricane?

91%+22.0%
OutcomeYesNo
Will Tropical Storm Lowell strengthen to a hurricane?

Order Book

Will Tropical Storm Lowell strengthen to a hurricane?

PriceSharesTotal
99.0¢208$206
98.0¢274$268
97.0¢27$26
95.0¢40$38
94.0¢156$147
93.0¢707$658
92.0¢372$342
90.0¢last trade
2.0¢ spread
90.0¢824$742
89.0¢727$647
88.0¢156$137
87.0¢40$35
85.0¢80$68
68.0¢10$7
67.0¢28$19
51.0¢40$20
$1.7k bids$1.7k asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tropical Storm Lowell reaches hurricane strength at any point between market creation and September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Lowell reaches hurricane strength if it attains a maximum sustained wind speed (1-minute average) of at least 74 mph, corresponding to Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, as reported by the National Hurricane Center. Reaching hurricane strength at any single advisory during the market's timeframe is sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of the storm's intensity at other times. The primary resolution source for this market will be the operational advisories issued by the National Hurricane Center (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/). If Lowell is located outside the National Hurricane Center's area of responsibility, the maximum sustained wind speed reported by the responsible Regional Specialized Meteorological Center will be used. This market will resolve based on the operational advisory data issued while the storm is active. Any revisions to the storm's peak intensity or category published later in a post-storm best-track report or Tropical Cyclone Report will not be considered for this market's resolution. If Lowell does not reach hurricane strength by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or dissipates before reaching hurricane strength, this market will resolve to "No".

Will Tropical Storm Lowell strengthen to a hurricane?

91%