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Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

Resolves Aug 31, 2026·$599 24h vol·culture
$599 total volume

August 25

88%-0.5%
OutcomeYesNo
August 25
August 19
August 28
August 31
August 7
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August 29
August 26
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Order Book

August 25

PriceSharesTotal
99.0¢1.2k$1.2k
98.0¢250$245
96.0¢15$15
91.0¢85$77
90.0¢441$397
89.0¢572$509
86.0¢last trade
2.0¢ spread
87.0¢397$345
86.0¢272$234
85.0¢124$105
84.0¢20$17
3.0¢250$8
2.0¢250$5
1.0¢1.2k$12
$726 bids$2.5k asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify. Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify. A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare"). A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.

August 25

88%